As New Yorkers head to the polls Tuesday, a new Manhattan Institute poll reveals a sharp divide between candidate popularity and support for progressive ideas—part of a broader look from MI scholars at the city’s politics, economy, and future. A new MI poll led by Jesse Arm finds Zohran Mamdani leading the NYC mayoral field—and even beating Andrew Cuomo head-to-head. Yet most voters reject his policy agenda: 58% oppose free bus fares, 64% support expanding gifted and talented programs, and 55% favor repealing bail reform. In UnHerd, John Ketcham explores how the growing political strength of Muslim New Yorkers is shaping the mayoral race—and how candidates are competing for this pivotal coalition. In City Journal, senior fellow Nicole Gelinas argues that New York’s wealthiest residents will better withstand progressive experiments—like rent freezes, free transit, and police budget shifts—than the city’s middle class. NYC’s next mayor will also face an unprecedented challenge: 1.2 million visitors arriving for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. As Santiago Vidal Calvo writes in City Journal, the event will stretch city infrastructure—from hotels and transit to public safety systems. In Bloomberg Opinion, Allison Schrager explains why persistently low credit spreads—often seen as a sign of calm—may actually reflect growing economic complacency. A new MI issue brief by adjunct fellow Jennifer Weber argues that mayoral control of public schools leads to more accountable leadership and lasting education reform. For the latest from MI and City Journal, subscribe to our newsletter: https://lnkd.in/eriGg5NU
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