The UK’s Seventh Carbon Budget level should be set at 535 MtCO2e, an 87% reduction against 1990 levels. It is in line with previous Government commitments – the Fourth, Fifth and Sixth Carbon Budgets, international commitments, and the Net Zero commitment in 2050. Electrification makes up 60% of emissions reductions by 2040. This includes decarbonising the grid and replacing fossil fuelled cars and heating systems with electric alternatives. This will require initial investment but we expect to start seeing savings in the Seventh Carbon Budget period. The net cost will be about 0.2% of GDP from now to 2050. This is less than we thought when we last gave advice in 2020. 65-90% of this will be paid by the private sector. But we will need targeted public investment too. It’s important that policymakers ensure this money goes in the right place - to unlock private investment. This country has a prosperous and secure future ahead. The fossil fuel age is over – it’s time to electrify the United Kingdom. https://lnkd.in/e8ktArw6
Absolutely love that last statement - The fossil fuel age is over – it’s time to electrify the United Kingdom. Other countries are showing (extremely successfully) how to do this. We just need to do similarly and quickly. (And paying the true price of renewable energy - rather than tying it to the gas price as is currently done - is key).
Neil O'Brien Mike Kinghan MBE Mark Fitzpatrick
Electrification is key for the UK's carbon goals. How can we ensure public funds effectively unlock private investments for a sustainable future?
Climate Change Committee it is now time push even harder on the following in the UK: * mass-scale adoption of BEVs in the UK (cars and vans) * mass-scale installation of small-scale RE systems (residential and business) * mass-scale installation of small-scale energy storage systems (residential and business)
Meeting these long-term goals will mean significant changes in the years ahead. One-third of emissions cuts between now and 2040 need to come from households making low-carbon choices, the CCC says. This will mainly be through switching from petrol and diesel cars to electric vehicles and from fossil fuel boilers to heat pumps, making use of growing supplies of clean electricity.
So as aviation is struggling to decarbonise should there be any airport expansion at this current time?
Can you please share your full energy modelling calculations? From what is in the main report and the supplementary report "Reasonable worst-case stress-test scenarios for the UK energy sector in the context of the changing climate (Newcastle University)" Which says, "Although the diversification of the wind portfolio does lead to an increase in the average wind power generation at times of high demand, the UK average wind generation can still drop below 10 GW (with capacity factors below 20%) particularly in the highest demand hours." Below 20% is somewhat generous. Additionally, it seems that your modelling does not have sufficient backup for a sustained period of low renewable output. In the supplementary report, it identifies a period where, based on your modelling, you might have a deficit of 80 GW from renewables for around a week, with some periods extending upwards to 120 GW. From table 7.5.1, you have modelled 38 GW of dispatchable gas capacity, 35 GW/139 GWh of battery storage, 7 GW/433 GWh of medium-duration storage and 8 GW of nuclear. So how are you making up the sustained deficit? Are you load-shifting, is there some other mechanism? Transparency in calculations is important or people can get the wrong idea.
lunacy
Treading water until I decide to work
6moRead The Emperor’s New Clothes.