Joshua Shapiro

Joshua Shapiro

Consultant, Strategic Risk at Deloitte

Location
Washington D.C. Metro Area
Industry
International Affairs
Current
  1. Deloitte
Previous
  1. Diligence LLC,
  2. Kroll,
  3. U.S. Department of Defense, National Defense University, Center for Applied Strategic Learning
Education
  1. American University
500+ connections

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Summary

Joshua is a Strategic Risk Consultant at Deloitte Advisory where he supports the Business Intelligence Service and Strategic Risk market offerings.

Prior to Deloitte, Joshua worked for a top corporate intelligence consultancy where he conducted investigations for, and provided competitive intelligence products and risk assessments to, top Fortune-500 companies in support of mergers and acquisitions (M&A), hostile market entry, litigation, FCPA compliance, and strategic investments.

Joshua's professional interests include the nexus between resource scarcity and conflict, violent non-state actors & illicit networks, strategic futures, and U.S. grand strategy. He has communicated complex analysis, via oral briefings and written products, to military and DOD analysts, intelligence community executives, and corporate executives on complex issues including West African hydrocarbon markets, South Asian geopolitics, and the regional implications of Israeli offshore hydrocarbon development.

Experience

Publications

  • Egypt Unshackled

    Yale Review of International Studies

    Mubarak’s disposition as a result due to popular protest raised important questions: will the newly-democratizing Egypt continue on the path of former dictator Hosni Mubarak, whereby Egyptian foreign policy was constrained by an alliance with Western powers? Or, will it assume a new course inspired by the desires of its citizens?

    Authors:

  • 1000 Paper Tigers: China's Conventional Missile Forces

    War on the Rocks

    The supposed threat of the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) Second Artillery Corps (SAC) and its “capability” to bring about capitulation by way of devastating conventional bombardment is a topic of concern among policy makers and military experts. But how does this affect the strategic dynamics of the region? I aim to prove that while the PLA’s SAC may pose a tactical threat to large installations, it lacks the conventional capability to bring about a quick strategic victory in any conflict scenario.

    Authors:

  • Winning the Peace in Mesepotamia

    Cicero Magazine

    Competition for dwindling water resources along the Tigris-Euphrates is likely to foil any efforts at establishing a sustainable Mesopotamian peace. If and when the guns fall silent, no matter who governs and inhabits the territory constituting present day Iraq and Syria, competition over water will catalyze the “conflict trap” to which all war-torn regions are already susceptible.

    Authors:

  • Managing the Realities of Change

    Deloitte & Touche LLP

    Whether that enemy is a group of hackers on the other side of the world, a lethal virus or
    bacteria, an adversarial nation state, or disruptive market forces, one of the worst things an enterprise can do is be willfully unprepared.

    Authors:

Projects

  • Offshore Energy Development in the Levantine Basin

    –

    An executive analysis and full length analytic estimate disseminated to four National Intelligence Officers due to superior quality.

    The Bottom Line: The United States has a three to five year window of opportunity to successfully conclude the MEPP before Israel’s dominant regional position becomes solidified by energy independence and export generated revenue. Projected global demand, coupled with Israel’s technical capability and political will, ensure Levantine Basin offshore hydrocarbon development. While the most likely export route to Europe – a pipeline through Turkey – is not ideal for Israel, it will still result in an Israel no longer beholden to U.S. economic influence. This change in bilateral dynamics makes likelihood of a successful MEPP conclusion remote and a rekindled Sino-Israeli defense trade relationship highly likely.

    Team members:

  • River Wars: Potential Battlefields of the 21st Century

    –

    Research paper determining which states in the Middle East/North Africa region are most likely to experience future interstate conflict due to water scarcity. Boolean Algebra was used following the amassing of data concerning military and economic capacity, population growth, oil exports, agricultural capacity, and severity of water scarcity in order to determine the prerequisites for conflict over water.

    Team members:

  • The Dragon in the Gulf

    Starting

    Utilized multivariate regression analysis to examine the relationship between China’s political/economic interactions with Arabian Gulf states and PLA Naval expansion with China’s ever increasing energy demand.

    Team members:

  • MENA Water Security Analytic Assessments

    Starting

    Authored three analytic products analyzing the political-economic effect of water scarcity on major state/non-state actors along the Nile and Tigris-Euphrates river basins. During this project (1) I used morphological analysis to determine various attack methods for Egyptian military action against the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and developed a set of indicators which will provide strategic warning of Egyptian action against upstream riparian states. (2) I assessed the Islamic State in Iraq and the Sham's (ISIS) ability to leverage its upstream control of both the Tigris and Euphrates against the Iraqi government. (3) I developed a qualitative model depicting Syria's post-Civil War economic recovery, demonstrating its reliance on agriculture, and assessed the potential effects on Iraqi water security.

    Team members:

Education

  • American University

    Bachelors, International Studies, Economics
    –

    Minor in Economics, Regional Focus on the Middle East/North Africa, Functional Specialization in Global Security

    Relevant Coursework Includes: Arabic Beginner I & II; Arabic Intermediate I & II; Analysis of U.S. Foreign Policy; Introduction to International Relations Research; Arab Societies; China, Japan, and the US; World Politics; Introduction to Global Security

    Activities and Societies: Pi Kappa Alpha

  • AMIDEAST Jordan

    , Area and Language Studies
    –

    Studied both Modern Standard Arabic and Jordanian Colloquial Arabic; Radical Islamic Political Movements; International Relations of the Middle East: Hard and Soft Threats; and Economic Development in the Middle East

  • Poughkeepsie High School

    High School Regents Diploma
    –

    Activities and Societies: The National Honor Society, Varsity Tennis, Crew

Skills

Languages

  • English

    Native or bilingual proficiency

  • Arabic

    Limited working proficiency

  • Jordanian Colloquial Arabic

    Limited working proficiency

Courses

  • American University

    • Introduction to International Relations Research (SIS-206)
    • China, Japan, and the U.S. (SIS-255)
    • Introduciton to Global Security (SIS-319)
    • Analysis of U.S. Foriegn Policy (SIS-382)
    • Arabic Beginner I (ARAB-102)
    • Arabic Beginner II (ARAB-103)
    • Arabic Intermediate I (ARAB-202)
    • Arabic Intermediate II (ARAB-203)
    • International Economic Policy (SIS-385)
    • Introduction to Peace and Conflict Resolution (SIS-308)
    • Intermediate Microeconomics
    • Intermediate Macroeconomics
    • Water Scarcity & Conflict
    • Public Finance

  • AMIDEAST Jordan

    • Jordanian (Levantine) Arabic I (ARAB-296)
    • Economic Development in the Middle East and North Africa (ECON-358)
    • International Relations of the Middle East: Hard and Soft Threats (SIS-3XX)
    • Radical Islamic Political Movements (SIS-396)

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