The greatest new thing?
What technology do you think will take the spotlight within the next three years?
Clarification added August 23, 2007:
Yeah - to Glenn's point I meant *new*. Web 2.0 is sort of a marketing splash on top of a group of technologies that facilitate comunication rather than an actual technology.
Clarification added August 25, 2007:
Awesome energy around this question. I am wondering who is implementing the greatest new thing?
Good Answers (5)
Glenn A C.
Regional Sales Manager at GHA technologies
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Come on, he said NEW!
Web 2.0 is marketing hype schlock. Tim Berners-Lee (INVENTED the WWW) says "Web 1.0 was all about connecting people. It was an interactive space, and I think Web 2.0 is of course a piece of jargon, nobody even knows what it means."
And Ruby is a poorly developed and OLD framework with Rails being a lazy way to force simple compliance to a very limited set of conventions.
What is not here, and what needs dramatic re-invention is the UI to computers. Keyboard/ mouse has some limited apps, but is very poor for most work. But I do not see anything far enough along in development for a 3 year roll out.
What there is some actual chance for, in the US, if we can stop the ATT effort to provide a cheaper solution for VOD, would be fiber to the curb. We need to deploy fiber to homes and offices the way we are using copper right now. But the copper infrastrucure is held by a few relative monopolies right now. Local cable companies and telcom ILECs.
And perhaps more accurately, BECAUSE of technology, not a technology itself, is the open distribution of information. Not a Web 2.0 marketing hype version, but simply continued implementation of what the web (1.0) was intended to be from the start. youtube, google news, blogs (though I am not really found of them specifically, I think the BBS implementation is better) with bandwidth becoming bigger and cheaper (see my other prediction) "one to many" forms of communications will get far more effective and interesting. More small sources will get large distribution ability.
Truth will out (Shakespeare, The Merchant of Venice, 1600)
Chris C.
Chief Technology Officer
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This is a very interesting question. 3 years is a very short time for technology adoption. I think over the next 3 years you will see ubiquitous computing leading the pack.
"Ubiquitous computing encompasses a wide range of research topics, including distributed computing, mobile computing, sensor networks, human-computer interaction, and artificial intelligence."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ubiquitous_computing
One of the technologies might be WiMax
"Some cellular companies are evaluating WiMAX as a means of increasing bandwidth for a variety of data-intensive applications; Sprint Nextel announced in mid-2006 that it would invest about US$ 3 billion in a WiMAX technology buildout over the next few years"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WiMax
Bart S.
Expert in sustainable private sector development and (corporate) social responsibility
Dear Antonio,
Here is an answer from a layman on the subject. I think some "new" technologies in the near future may be characterized as regressive or retro (in a positive way). Due to global warming and climate change, energy levels need to be reduced drastically. Some of these reductions can be achieved through innovation and the development of energy-saving technologies. But reducing energy consumption levels might also be achieved through the re-invention and use of old technologies. Although can't give you any state-of-the-art examples, the telephone is an interesting case. Some 10 or 20 years ago, telephones did not need electricity to function. Nowadays, almost all fixed-line telephones need electricity. There are two disadvantages to this “innovation”. Landline telephones that need electricity (for example DECT cordless telephones) cannot be used in case of a power outage and they use electricity that could otherwise be used for other purposes. This does not mean that we all should go back to old technologies, but I do think they will be rediscovered and adapted to satisfy current consumer needs.
Back to basics.
David J. H.
EVP & CIO at Hendrix College
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Mobile (read: automotive) WiFi in the form of EVDO routers.
Autonet Mobile (in the U.S.) is already offering the technology for rental cars today (through Avis); several automobile mfgrs already have in-car WiFi designs ready to begin roll out in the 2009 time frame. The technology is available today in the form of EVDO routers from Kyocera, DLink, and Linksys.
Mobile WiFi will enable Internet Radio (10s of 1000s of stations) to make Satellite, HD, and Terrestrial Radio "quaint" by comparison.
My take on this one is the tag based file organization.
Anyway, this is what I need:) ... The folder style for data storage on computers is so last century. Even my mom needs to associate text files to different folders, or associate different type of files to photos, and searching through one year of normal holliday photos in my computer becomes impossible. I actually feel the need to organize my files tag-based.
Microsoft and Mac OS XI I am counting on you on this one :) !
Links:
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Ray M.
Energy expert, educator, award winning sculptor
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I would have to say it's between the following:
1) Graphite core pebble bed reactor technology - very safe!
2) nanotechnology applications in energy
3) A breakthrough in hydrogen fueled cars
Tom V.
Sortware Engineer at Thomas Cook AG
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Three years is a long time in the IT-World, but nethertheless I think that Web 2.0, AJAX, Ruby on Rails and perhaps even Flex will be in the spotlights.
Eileen B.
IT Professional, Information Security Quality Assurance Operations & Administration
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Three years in technology is a veritable eternity! I think perhaps biotechnology will be tested and tried in many different markets for solutions from cars to computer chips.
Eileen
Lou S.
accomplished designer focused on user experience, design education, curation, performance and dynamic media
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Sermo ... Web 2.0 with a cause _and_ a business plan ;]
Links:
From the hardware standpoint, there are three clear signals that innovation on interfaces is important: iPhone, Microsoft Surface and Nintendo Wii.
We want our daily experiences with computers to be ubiquituous and phyisical, and these 3 key companies seem to understand that mouse and keyboard just feels so "XXth century".
In terms of connectivity, WiFi and other alternatives that are related with the idea of sharing information with your neighbour (just like P2P vs. the Napster model) will inevitably open new software design challenges and the mobile and online platforms.
Designers and creative minds will have to understand they are not just interactive designers, but social designers in these days. Just think of Twitter on the mobile platform interacting with the web: a perfect application for both platforms. I would like to see more of that.
But with all our digital social life spreading like that, I would certainly like to see something that can handle all that. And I'm trying to work on it.
Dave E.
Co-founder & CEO at Tagwhat
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Virtual world technology like Second Life and their applications in the enterprise. (one lawyer's opinion :-)).
Pat S.
Talent Innovator, Strategy Geek & Career Whisperer
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I think Glenn's point really speaks to Antonio's question. The World Wide Web is really like a virtual Wild Wild West. The raw material is there, but how do we harness and direct the energy without losing flexibility and freedom? Lots of questions...
-pat
Czeslaw M.
Industrial supplier and Mechanical, Industrial Engineering Consultant, TopLinked.com
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Hi Antonio
Nanotechnology and...
telephaty mechanism discovery...;-)
---
greets,czes
Wallace J.
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