Is IT revolution going to end?
Dear Friends,
Recently i had a chance to study a paragraph in an article.In that i have read that normally for any inventions,revolution will be for 20 yrs.That is in 20 yrs the consumer needs will end up or people will look for another inventions.They stated some examples like Agricultural revolution from 1950-1970 and again Mechanical revolution from 1970-1990.Then IT revolution from 1990-2010. As per current situation would you think IT revolution going to end?And also according to your idea what invention would be the next revolution?
Please share your ideas and comment on these.
Good Answers (2)
Gerald I.
Sr. Systems Windows Engineer at TEKsystems
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Dear Sarav,
The information revolution has not yet ended. In fact in many cases, it has just really begun. Until most of the infrastructure could be put in place, information was siloed in large systems and data warehouse environments. Now that the Internet has been "to use a youthamism" unleashed, information technology can flourish in this newly interconnected web of routers and servers across the globe.
I have included some articles in the links below that point focus to this fact.
As for the next big revolution, I speculate that it will be A.I., Artificial Intelligence. When you have a mature interconnected infrastructure of information, in order to make sense of this vast sea of knowledge, an A.I. will be used to analyze and interpret it all.
See links below:
http://blogcritics.org/archives/2009/03/09/215032.php
http://www.emediawire.com/releases/2009/3/prweb2125474.htm
http://www.bignews.biz/?id=794987&keys=Investing-stock-invest-money
I hope this information helps you Sarav.
Links:
Frank F.
►CEO/Bd Director ►IT Governance Advisor ►Future-Proof Strategy ►Keynotes ►Inno-Change ►Social Media Mktg ►China Advisor
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Revolutions mature and become overlaid with the next revolution. They do not end, they are ongoing. Thus, mechanization also modernized agriculture. The IT revolution, which did not begin in 1990, but with the first IBM mainframe computer, further modernized industry and agriculture.
The IT revolution has several phases, as do most revolutions. After the mainframe with vacuum tubes, we got microchips in 1971, then desktop computers around 1980, then the Internet in the 1990s.
The Internet Revolution in many ways is more profound than any previous revolution, as it is transforming everything with digitization globally. Even the microchip revolution has at least a couple of decades to run, leading to more powerful computing and Internet applications. The next Web will be the semantic Web and we also may see bio-computing.
Coming along in the background is the bio-genetics revolution, itself made more possible by the computer revolution. Bio-genetic health care breakthroughs will lead another major revolution, with major implications for life, for pharmaceuticals, hospitals, and every kind of healthcare provider worldwide.
But I would not get hung up on the 20-year time frame, the time from R&D to market application, or the phase of consumer popularity.
Every human still eats food. Many do gardening. Millions drive cars or use other machines. Millions are going online. And millions have healthcare needs. These things are not restricted to 20 years. They overlap and build the quality of life higher. Old revolutions do not die; they progress to a higher level.
FRANK FEATHER
Global Business Futurist and ex-Banker
~~ "A Future You Can Bank On!" ~~
Website: http://FFeather.com
e-Mail: Frank.Feather@Gmail.com
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More Answers (5)
Karen E. L.
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When any industry becomes widely known and accepted, it ceases to be revolutionary. I'd say IT is already past the stage of being revolutionary here in the US. Nobody's surprised to see even young children using computers.
But that doesn't mean IT is going away, or that new things won't still be invented or improved upon. After all, your article says the agricultural revolution ended four decades ago, but we all still eat agricultural products. There are still plenty of farmers in the world.
Clarification added March 16, 2009:
A further thought....
Agriculture is essentially a "natural" technology. Hybridization and breeding have progressed over many centuries; techniques, machinery and fertilizers have improved; but the essential nature of plants and animals does not admit a great deal of change. (Indeed, many people resist extreme change in this field, as witness the popularity of organic foods and opposition in some quarters to genetic engineering.)
IT is entirely a human invention and has much more room to change over time, both in hardware and software. So the "revolution" part may be over; computers are now a standard part of our lives. But there is still plenty of room for better, faster, etc., and a high probability of public acceptance.
Steve D.
IT & Help Desk Workflow Analyst & Cost Reducer - enquiries@stevedavidson.com.au - Ask me how I can save your company $
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There are many IT revolutions, each one precipitating the next.
While the novelty has worn off pure data-crunching, and the long-distance communication revolution is starting to plateau with VoIP, I believe the global collaboration revolution is still waiting to peak. There may then be a pause while higher-bandwidth, more fully-immersive HIDs are developed and marketed, probably as cellphone accessories.
Kevin H.
Web Business Consultant since 1998
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No. It will not end, because it is self-reinforcing.
The next great revolutions are already beginning, which have to do with biotechnology, immortality, AI, and united consciousness. Interesting, and a bit frightening. If you want $$ and purpose, look to biotech. How many of your 20 Billion dollars would you be willing to give up to live 10 more healthy years, or have immortality?
Tobias O.
Communication, Information, Corporate Social Responsibility, Technology at Dienstencentrum
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IT may actually not follow a cyclical (revolution) model. Please check 'singularity'.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity